Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom

#48: Jim Stack On Charting A Course Through Stock Market Rapids

Jim Stack has been assiduously studying markets in an effort to develop and hone a full-cycle investment discipline since he was first introduced to stock market risk back in the 1973-74 bear market. That experience instilled in him the modicum of skepticism needed to successfully navigate major market turning points, both tops and bottoms, as well as an infectious enthusiasm for investment research that still drives him today. It also set him on a journey that would eventually see him founding InvesTech Research, one of the most successful investment newsletters in the industry, and later Stack Financial Management, an SEC-registered advisory firm with billions under management. In this episode (recorded in Whitefish, Montana), Jim shares the key stories that shaped him as an investor and the lessons learned along the way. He also discusses how he developed some of the major indicators that drive his investment process and how they currently influence his approach to the market. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#47: David Hay On Balancing Risk Management With Timely Opportunism

David Hay has been managing money for over 40 years using a tried and true approach steeped in classic value investing paired with an appreciation for technical analysis that can only be developed through vast experience in the markets. What's more, David also has a unique ability to balance a healthy respect for risk management with an openness to opportunities that arise. This has allowed him and his firm, Evergreen Gavekal, to thrive even in the most precarious of market environments. In this episode (recorded in Coeur D'Alene, Idaho), David discusses how he developed his investment methodology over the course of his career, sharing some of the key tactics and techniques he has come to employ and how he is putting them to use today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com

#46: Kiril Sokoloff On Seeking Truth In An Era Of Sophistry

For over half a century now, Kiril Sokoloff has not only identified in advance the most significant trends and innovations driving the markets and economy, he has also pinpointed the most attractive investment opportunities afforded by them. As a result, his firm, 13D Research, has become one of the most respected and influential services among institutional investors around the world. In this conversation (recorded in Sun Valley, Idaho), Kiril discusses how he developed and honed his investment approach over the course of his extensive and illustrious career and how he is using it today to isolate the most valuable macro signals in the markets. For notes and links related to this conversation visit TheFelderReport.com.

#45: Michael Oliver On The ’Massive Momentum Structure’ In The Stock Market

One thing I try to do with this podcast, is to find people who are taking a truly unique approach to analyzing the markets, those taking the "financial road less traveled," as I like to call it. Well, Michael Oliver is surely one of those. There is traditional technical analysis, the study of charts which has been around for as long as markets, and then there is Michael's, "momentum structural analysis," which is an entirely original way of studying price patterns and trends. It was almost exactly two years ago, I first got the chance to interview Michael about his methods. In this conversation (recorded in Fort Collins, Colorado), Michael goes into even more depth about his analytical techniques and what they are saying about the markets today. For notes, links and charts related to this episode, visit TheFelderReport.com.

#44: Julian Brigden On The Fed’s ’Impossible Trinity’

Julian Brigden is a master of models. In putting together his macro theses, which have presciently called major moves in everything from inflation and the dollar to the most popular manias in the stock market, he carefully studies inter-market relationships and correlations to come up with a framework grounded in real data rather than arcane theories and formulas. This practical and highly-refined approach has served him well for the ten years he has been running MI2 Partners and for years prior to that. In this episode, (recorded in Breckenridge, Colorado), Julian discusses how he developed this uniquely insightful methodology and how he uses it today to inform his own trading and that of his many institutional and retail clients.

#43: Diego Parrilla On Appreciating The Opportunity Set In ‘Antibubbles’

It was just over two years ago Diego Parrilla first joined me on the podcast to discuss his framework for analyzing financial bubbles and what he calls, "antibubbles." You may have noticed that the topic of bubbles and antibubbles has come up in both of my recent interviews with James Davolos, on the topic of inflation, and Adam Rozencwaig, on the mania in green energy stocks. Considering how relevant Diego's framework is to the current market environment and how dramatically the macro backdrop has changed since we last spoke, I thought it would be an opportune time to have him back for a follow up conversation. In this episode, Diego shares his views on the misconceptions underpinning all sorts of asset bubbles at present and how a paradigm shift in inflation threatens to play the role of pin to each of them. He also discusses why he believes cryptocurrencies are, in fact, a bubble and how they have created another opportunity in what he sees as one of the oldest and most enduring of antibubbles: gold. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com

#42: Adam Rozencwajg On The Speculative Mania In Green Energy Stocks

Back in October of last year, I had the pleasure of discussing the "generational opportunity in energy stocks" with Leigh Goehring. At the time, he made a very compelling investment case for the energy sector and, in just the five months since then, it has nearly doubled in value. Leigh and his firm still believe energy offers compelling value but to truly appreciate it, it helps to also understand the related bubbles in both renewables and electric vehicles. In this conversation, Leigh's partner, Adam Rozencwajg, shares his views on the mania in these so-called green energy stocks, outlining why renewables and EVs are not the panacea for climate change investors believe them to be and why, ironically, the best way to profit from the transition to green energy may be in the very stocks ESG investors are shunning today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com

#41: James Davolos On Protecting Yourself Against A Paradigm Shift In Inflation

Perhaps the biggest debate in the markets today is regarding the prospect of inflation. Will the massive fiscal stimulus and money printing of the past year or so, paired with shifting trends in global trade and demographics, result in a secular shift in the disinflationary paradigm we have seen for the past 40 years? To try to answer this question and to better understand how to protect one's finances should inflation rear its ugly head again, I reached out to James Davolos, co-portfolio manager of the Horizon Kinetics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF (INFL). In this conversation, James shares his framework for approaching the issue of inflation. He also discusses the merits of not only bringing a value-based equity focus to the problem but also of taking an asset-light approach to the process. We also tackle the risks to the broader equity market posed by all of this. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#40: Grant Williams On Focusing On What’s Important

Since starting his newsletter roughly a decade ago and then founding RealVision a few years later, Grant Williams has established himself as one of the preeminent creators and curators of financial wisdom in the world. His keen yet conversational interviews with some of the most interesting thinkers in the financial field have inspired investors of every ilk all around the globe and his monthly writings are widely considered invaluable. In this conversation, Grant discusses why and how he recently decided to shift the focus of his business in a more meaningful direction. He also shares what he has learned from his experiences in picking the brains of the greatest investors alive and how it shapes his own thinking today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

#39: John Hussman On Navigating One Of The Most Overextended Stock Markets Of All Time

At just seventeen years old, John Hussman's introduction to the world of finance was a job hand drawing charts for an investment adviser who liked his handwriting. From that point on, he was hooked on markets. After receiving his PhD in Economics from Stanford in 1992, he went on to found Hussman Strategic Advisers and has been managing equity portfolios ever since. In this episode, John discusses how he developed his "value-conscious, historically-informed, full-cycle" investment discipline over the past 40 years and how he is implementing it today to navigate one of the most "overvalued, overbought and overbullish" stock markets of all time. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.